Discussion about this post

User's avatar
JIPYB46's avatar

So far, the US and Israel have destroyed the known TEL sites, but none of the hidden ones, and Iran is a major player.

The military technical term for this is time-sensitive targeting (TST) of launcher-erector-carriers (TELs).

It is the most physically demanding task in modern warfare.

During the 1991 Gulf War, the United States enjoyed total air superiority and spent weeks trying to destroy Saddam Hussein's mobile Scud missile launchers.

The coalition conducted approximately 2,500 sorties specifically aimed at tracking Iraqi mobile Scud launchers in western Iraq.

Flat desert terrain, total air supremacy, world-leading ISR capabilities.

The post-war consensus, confirmed by numerous classified and unclassified analyses, is that the coalition likely never destroyed a single operational mobile launcher.

Every claimed “victim” turned out to be a decoy, a truck, or an empty launcher.

Scud missiles continued to be fired until the ceasefire.

Iran has had 35 years to learn this lesson.

Their mobile launch force is dispersed across a country three times the size of Iraq, with far more complex terrain: the Zagros Mountains, urban areas with over 80 million inhabitants, and tunnel networks whose entrances can be identified by satellite imagery, but whose interiors are undetectable.

Iranian road-based mobile launchers can be concealed in ordinary garages, warehouses, under highway overpasses, and inside mountain tunnels.

They can move, climb, shoot and relocate in less than 15 minutes.

Mr Mox's avatar

The Iranian navy is taking a hammering, and will probably end up being eliminated.

It stood little chance of being of any use anyway, as the US fleet wisely keeps it's distance from Iran and it's various anti-ship missiles.

At the same time, the US is hammering the Iranian navy, mostly because they can, and because most of the ships are sitting (moored) ducks, perfect targets for stand-off weapons - A fast and safe way to rake up some impressive numbers to dazzle the audience at home.

Let's see what the next weeks will bring. USA & Israel decided to start this war, but Iran will surely have a say in when to end it.

20 more comments...

No posts

Ready for more?