There is no evidence that "the Chinese are increasingly angry with Iran". Reuters is a western info-war shop and the "anonymous Iranian officials and people familiar with the matter" is Jake Sullivan sending a text message to a Reuters journalist. Nor is the belt and road "collapsing". I don't know why Americans insist on living in a fantasy world. We must engage things as they are. China's interests are entirely aligned with the erosion of American power that is taking place in Arabia, and this is in turn aligned with the interests of Iran and Russia. A short term decline in trade is absolutely worth a permanent decline in American power. If the US wishes to remain hegemonic it needs to a dramatic shift in strategy.
It has been evident for weeks based on shipping rates and crude oil prices that Iran's proxy attacks on Red Sea shipping via the Houthis was doing more damage to Russia and China than to Israel and the United States.
If the US can avoid falling into the trap of turning the conflict into another US war in the Middle East, the economic pressures should force Beijing to act as interlocutor to get Tehran to rein in the Houthis.
Not giving Iran the escalation that it wants is what is needed here. Let Iran and it's proxies be the ones taking the conflict up a notch.
These days I find China to be much less ideological and more pragmatic than the United States. The USA has truly lost its way under Biden and the warmongering neocons.
Thoroughly enjoy the analysis of geopolitical situations across the globe. You will never find such in depth information from any main stream media outlets in America. China's economic issues will be addressed at some point, and it's worldwide influence continues to grow. Biden is this century's Nero as he fiddles away America's power and influence. These critical issues of our time won't be solved by negligence or incompetence.
1st just want to say I appreciate your excellent analysis have been reading and recommending your work for a while now. I'm unsure if china will put major pressure on iran. Making a statement is just good optics
All I know is that the CCP chinks still have some power over the screaming fools from the 4th century living in the Middle East. They have a scary relationship with the world. AS we do do with our own Gubmint at the moment.
Geez, I remember not so long ago the geniuses in DC were complaining about the Saudi's attacking the Houthi's for shooting missiles into their oil production. I thought then we should arm the Saudi's to the hilt and let them clean up the crazy Muslim world, seems I was correct.
I arrived here through a CFP link and would like to give a hat-tip to Mr. Bryer and all off the people who posted here regarding Mr. Bryer's post. I appreciate the level of education I have received today through reading all of your comments. It seems nowadays that it's rare to see a thread of comments following such an interesting presentation that is as enlightening as this one. I have become so fatigued by comments that hurl insults and produce so little thought provoking information and opinion.
America's financial state is in danger. To disparage other economies, without a descriptive comparison provides little depth of understanding.
I have not seen an article that comparatively discusses China, the EU, Japan, the commodity countries in the g7 , and America side by side. Compare a variety of common metrics like debt, gdp, bond rates, currency value, etc
01/28/24: Superbly written (arrived here via Citizen Free Press, which provided the link). For an example of the exact opposite, see Selina Hastings's biography of Sybille Bedford (2021). Thank you!
Mr. Bryen, does Iran hold sufficient countervailing influence with China due to hydrocarbon exports? Might they say to Beijing, "Cut off your components, and we cut off our oil," roughly speaking?
There is no evidence that "the Chinese are increasingly angry with Iran". Reuters is a western info-war shop and the "anonymous Iranian officials and people familiar with the matter" is Jake Sullivan sending a text message to a Reuters journalist. Nor is the belt and road "collapsing". I don't know why Americans insist on living in a fantasy world. We must engage things as they are. China's interests are entirely aligned with the erosion of American power that is taking place in Arabia, and this is in turn aligned with the interests of Iran and Russia. A short term decline in trade is absolutely worth a permanent decline in American power. If the US wishes to remain hegemonic it needs to a dramatic shift in strategy.
It has been evident for weeks based on shipping rates and crude oil prices that Iran's proxy attacks on Red Sea shipping via the Houthis was doing more damage to Russia and China than to Israel and the United States.
https://newsletter.allfactsmatter.us/p/hamas-v-israel-who-is-taking-iran
If the US can avoid falling into the trap of turning the conflict into another US war in the Middle East, the economic pressures should force Beijing to act as interlocutor to get Tehran to rein in the Houthis.
Not giving Iran the escalation that it wants is what is needed here. Let Iran and it's proxies be the ones taking the conflict up a notch.
These days I find China to be much less ideological and more pragmatic than the United States. The USA has truly lost its way under Biden and the warmongering neocons.
Thoroughly enjoy the analysis of geopolitical situations across the globe. You will never find such in depth information from any main stream media outlets in America. China's economic issues will be addressed at some point, and it's worldwide influence continues to grow. Biden is this century's Nero as he fiddles away America's power and influence. These critical issues of our time won't be solved by negligence or incompetence.
It's almost as if the current administration is dangerously incompetent.
Effeminate men and women should not be running this country.
If China opens the Red Sea to pro-NATO shipping, it means China controls the sea lanes, not NATO countries.
Haven't read about this anywhere else, great catch and analysis.
1st just want to say I appreciate your excellent analysis have been reading and recommending your work for a while now. I'm unsure if china will put major pressure on iran. Making a statement is just good optics
All I know is that the CCP chinks still have some power over the screaming fools from the 4th century living in the Middle East. They have a scary relationship with the world. AS we do do with our own Gubmint at the moment.
China has been on the verge of collapse for 20 years (at what cost!), so maybe this time will really be it
Geez, I remember not so long ago the geniuses in DC were complaining about the Saudi's attacking the Houthi's for shooting missiles into their oil production. I thought then we should arm the Saudi's to the hilt and let them clean up the crazy Muslim world, seems I was correct.
Interesting piece, Mr. Bryen, and the added bonus is the lively discussion it seems to have provoked below.
I arrived here through a CFP link and would like to give a hat-tip to Mr. Bryer and all off the people who posted here regarding Mr. Bryer's post. I appreciate the level of education I have received today through reading all of your comments. It seems nowadays that it's rare to see a thread of comments following such an interesting presentation that is as enlightening as this one. I have become so fatigued by comments that hurl insults and produce so little thought provoking information and opinion.
Thank you, all of you!
America's financial state is in danger. To disparage other economies, without a descriptive comparison provides little depth of understanding.
I have not seen an article that comparatively discusses China, the EU, Japan, the commodity countries in the g7 , and America side by side. Compare a variety of common metrics like debt, gdp, bond rates, currency value, etc
01/28/24: Superbly written (arrived here via Citizen Free Press, which provided the link). For an example of the exact opposite, see Selina Hastings's biography of Sybille Bedford (2021). Thank you!
Mr. Bryen, does Iran hold sufficient countervailing influence with China due to hydrocarbon exports? Might they say to Beijing, "Cut off your components, and we cut off our oil," roughly speaking?